Poll: YES on Proposition 8 Now Leading 47% to 42%

Uh-oh! A poll has come out that, for the first time, shows that the heterosexual supremacists who are pushing Proposition 8 have a chance of amending the California constitution to ban marriages between same-sex couples. A SurveyUSA poll for some local TV stations in California shows the YES vote at 47% and NO vote at 42%, with most of the change from previous polls coming from young voters. The poll was conducted October 4 and 5 among 670 likely voters and has a margin of error plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

The internals of the poll are available in pdf form.

Interestingly, the poll has 55% of men voting YES (35% No) with women voting 41% Yes and 49% No. Young people aged 18-34 vote in favor of Proposition 8 53% to 38%!

Among racial groups, African Americans made up 7% of the sample and support Proposition 8 52% Yes, 34% No, 14% Undecided. Latinos made up 19% of the sample and oppose Proposition 8 44% Yes, 45% No, 11% Undecided. Asian and Pacific Islanders made up 12% of the sample and they support Proposition 8 50% Yes, 36% No, 14% Undecided. Whites made up 62% of the sample and support Proposition 8 47% Yes, 44% No, 9% Undecided.

Hat/tip to Towleroad